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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Short-Term Dependencies between the Volatility of Currency, Money and Capital Markets: The Case of Poland
  • 作者:Janusz Brzeszczynski ; Robert Kelm
  • 期刊名称:CERT Discussion Paper / Center for Economic Reform and Transformation
  • 出版年度:2004
  • 卷号:2004
  • 出版社:Edinburgh
  • 摘要:

    The paper presents GARCH models for the Euro-Polish zloty and US dollar-Polish zloty currency rates. It applies the approach within which both the conditional variance function and the mean equation of the ARCH class model are expanded simultaneously. The basic regression equation incorporates causal dependencies between currency prices and the main characteristics of domestic and international currency, money and capital markets. The paper provides an insight into the currency market microstructure as the presented investigation takes into account the intradaily features of the market. Model selection and performance has been evaluated by the use of direction quality measures.

  • 关键词:currency market, GARCH models, direction quality measures, emerging markets
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