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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Do Oil Prices Matter? The Case of a Small Open Economy
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Joao Tovar Jalles
  • 期刊名称:Annals of Economics and Finance
  • 电子版ISSN:1529-7373
  • 出版年度:2009
  • 卷号:10
  • 期号:01
  • 出版社:Peking University Press
  • 摘要:

    This paper empirically evaluates the impact and effect of oil price fluctuations and shocks on French aggregate economic performance, industrial production index and inflation rate. Our methodology makes use of a multivariate VAR approach to analyze the stability and magnitude of this system by adopting different oil price specifications, together with a robustness check through the estimation of a St. Louis-type equation. We adopt several oil price specifications. Our results show that the main French macroeconomic aggregate variables have become progressively less reactive to oil price fluctuations and that the adjustment towards equilibrium levels have been done increasingly faster.

  • 关键词:Oil price fluctuations; Multivariate VAR; Causality; Impulse Response; St. Louis Equation
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