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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Uncertainties and Risks to Projections
  • 期刊名称:Croatian Economic Outlook
  • 印刷版ISSN:1332-3067
  • 电子版ISSN:1332-3067
  • 出版年度:2009
  • 卷号:38
  • 出版社:Institute of Economics, Zagreb, Department for Macroeconomic Analysis and Policy
  • 摘要:Although most analysts believe the global economy will start recovering in 2010, the level of uncertainty remains exceptionally high. On the one hand, there is a possibility for an earlier rebound in the world economy due to undertaken policy measures in advanced economies as well as due to a decrease in commodity prices on world markets. On the other hand, there is a risk that the financial turmoil will have stronger effects on the real sector than anticipated which, in addition to emerging protectionist measures and large global imbalances, might prolong the crisis.
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