出版社：Institute of Economics, Zagreb, Department for Macroeconomic Analysis and Policy
摘要：There are signs that the first quarter 2009 may prove to be a trough point of the global
economic crisis. A number of indicators suggest that global economic activity is stabilizing
as a result of substantial fiscal and monetary stimulus worldwide as well as a decline in
commodity prices. It is now believed that this stimulus, with a turnaround in the stock
cycle, will lead to a gradual global recovery. However, prospects remain subject to high
levels of uncertainty. A sustained rise in activity is not expected before the second half
of 2010. The IMF updated its forecasts in July, revising them slightly upwards for 2010
compared to three months ago. It now projects world real GDP to fall by 1.4 percent in
2009, before growing 2.5 percent in 2010.
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