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  • 标题:Simulation der Schuldenbremse und der Schuldenschranke für die deutschen Bundesländer.
  • 作者:Max Groneck ; Robert C. Plachtaz
  • 期刊名称:Finanzwissenschaftliche Diskussionsbeiträge / Finanzwissenschaftliches Forschungsinstitut, Universität Köln
  • 印刷版ISSN:0945-490X
  • 出版年度:2007
  • 卷号:2007
  • 出版社:Universität Köln
  • 摘要:This paper analyses the shortcomings of the current budget rules for the Bundesländer, espe- cially the de.nition of public investment that is used as a de.cit ceiling in Germany. Two alternative budget rules are analysed, the Swiss debt brake as well as a version incorporating a golden rule presented by the the German Council of Economic Experts. A simulation reveals the necessary consolidation path, the loss of bene.ts, and the recursive development of public debt. In addition to the standard simulation method we present a politico-economic approach that leads to improved results. The swiss debt brake yields stronger restrictions on public debt than the version incorporating the golden rule. Yet applying the simulation to both Länder and their municipalities leads to contrasting results.
  • 关键词:Public debt, German Bundesländer, debt brake, golden rule, public investment
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