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  • 标题:Nelson-Plosser revisited: the ACF approach
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Karim Abadir ; Giovanni Caggiano ; Gabriel Talmain
  • 期刊名称:Departmental Discussion Papers / University of Glasgow, Department of Economics
  • 出版年度:2005
  • 卷号:1
  • 出版社:University of Glasgow, Department of Economics
  • 摘要:We detect a new stylized fact about the common dynamics of macroeconomic and financial aggregates. The rate of decay of the memory of these series is depicted by their Auto-Correlation Functions (ACFs). They all share a common four-parameter functional form that we derive from the dynamics of an RBC model with heterogeneous firms. We find that, not only does our formula fit the data better than the ACFs that arise from autoregressive models, but it also yields the correct shape of the ACF. This can help policymakers understand better the lags with which an economy evolves, and the onset of its turning points. (JEL E32, E52, E63).
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