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  • 标题:Low Inflation, Deflation, and Policies for Future Price Stability
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Keynote Speech by John B. Taylor
  • 期刊名称:Monetary and Economic Studies
  • 印刷版ISSN:0288-8432
  • 出版年度:2001
  • 卷号:19
  • 期号:S1
  • 出版社:Bank of Japan, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies
  • 摘要:The effects of three different inflationary environments?high inflation, low inflation, and negative inflation?on real output stability are examined by looking at the experiences of Japan and the United States during the last 30 years. I begin by going back to see how things looked from the vantage point of the 1987 international conference at the Bank of Japan. Next I trace out how economic performance has evolved since then. Economic performance appears to have been better with low inflation than with either high inflation or negative inflation. I also look at some of the reasons for the different inflationary environments. I take both an interest rate policy rule approach and a quantity theory of money approach. Both approaches suggest that monetary policy has been the key factor in generating the different inflationary experiences.
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