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文章基本信息

  • 标题:The bond market term premium: what is it, and how can we measure it?
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Don H Kim ; Athanasios Orphanides
  • 期刊名称:BIS Quarterly Review: International Banking and Financial Market Developments = BIZ-Quartalsbericht: Internationales Bankgeschäft und internationale Finanzmärkte
  • 印刷版ISSN:1012-9979
  • 出版年度:2007
  • 卷号:2007
  • 期号:2
  • 出版社:Bank for International Settlements
  • 摘要:

    We review the concept of the term premium, examine alternative methods used to estimate it and discuss some of the challenges encountered in such efforts. We also explain how survey forecasts could be useful for providing an informal, model-free cross-check on simple regression-based forecasting models of term premia and for formal estimation of flexibly specified no-arbitrage models.

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