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  • 标题:Econometric Modeling of the Effects of Economic Policies on Food output in Nigeria under Obasanjo’s Administration
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Anthony O. Onoja ; Agumagu A. C.
  • 期刊名称:The Journal of Sustainable Development in Africa (JSDA)
  • 电子版ISSN:1520-5509
  • 出版年度:2009
  • 卷号:11
  • 期号:1
  • 出版社:Institute of Sustainable Development in Africa
  • 摘要:This study attempted modeling the impact of economic policy variables of Obasanjo’s administration on food output in Nigeria. The study used secondary data which was analyzed using multiple regression models. Following detection of autocorrelation in that model it was modified using the Generalized Difference Equation (GDE) and Prais-Winsten Transformation before applying OLS to the transformation. The final results of the OLS estimates were re-tested for autocorrelation before the final discussion. The study’s findings indicts the Federal Government (1999-2006), commercial banks, and the Agricultural Credit Guarantee Scheme Fund of doing very little to advance the course of food production in the country with statistically insignificant coefficient values of the policy variables. The recommendations made included the need for CBN to monitor commercial bank loans to agriculture, reform of the Agricultural Credit Guarantee Scheme, subsidizing of commercial bank’s interest rate of agricultural loans, and increase in budgetary allocation to agriculture.
  • 关键词:Food production, agricultural loans, ACGSF, budgetary allocation to agriculture, Prais- Winsten Transformation
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