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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Exchange rates during financial crises
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Marion Kohler
  • 期刊名称:BIS Quarterly Review: International Banking and Financial Market Developments = BIZ-Quartalsbericht: Internationales Bankgeschäft und internationale Finanzmärkte
  • 印刷版ISSN:1012-9979
  • 出版年度:2010
  • 卷号:2010
  • 期号:1
  • 出版社:Bank for International Settlements
  • 摘要:

    Exchange rate movements during the global financial crisis of 2007-09 were unusual. Unlike in two previous episodes - the Asian crisis of 1997-98 and the crisis following the Russian debt default in 1998 - in 2008 a large number of currencies depreciated sharply even though they were not at the centre of the crisis. Moreover, during 2009, the crisis-related movements reversed strongly for a number of countries. Two factors likely have contributed to these developments. First, during the latest crisis, safe haven effects went against the typical pattern of crisis-related flows. Second, interest rate differentials explain more of the crisis-related exchange rate movements in 2008-09 than in the past. This probably reflects structural changes in the determinants of exchange rate dynamics such as the increased role of carry-trade activity.

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