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  • 标题:Do Central Banks have Precautionary Demands for Expansions and for Price Stability? - Theory and Evidence
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Alex Cukierman ; Anton Muscatelli
  • 期刊名称:Departmental Discussion Papers / University of Glasgow, Department of Economics
  • 出版年度:2002
  • 卷号:1
  • 出版社:University of Glasgow, Department of Economics
  • 摘要:This paper analyses the impact of asymmetric preferences with respect to inßation and output by policymakers on interest-rate reaction functions. A theoretical framework which makes it possible to identify the dominant type of asymmetry is developed and related to the precautionary demand of pol- icymakers for expansions and for low inßation. Using data for some G7 economies, the paper shows that, except for Germany, nonlinear and asym- metric behaviour is present. A main Þnding is that where credibility-building and disinßation has already been achieved, the monetary authorities develop a greater precautionary demand for output expansions than for low inßation. Thismay generate a new type of inßation bias. Conversely, where credibility- building is still a concern for the authorities, managing the business cycle is dominated by concerns of the monetary authorities to keep inßation expec- tations low.
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