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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Ouverture commerciale et migration : un modèle d’équilibre général calculable pour le Maroc
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Mohamed Bouzahzah ; Hamid Esmaeili ; Abid Ihadiyan
  • 期刊名称:L'Actualité économique
  • 印刷版ISSN:0001-771X
  • 电子版ISSN:1710-3991
  • 出版年度:2007
  • 卷号:83
  • 期号:1
  • 出版社:Erudit
  • 摘要:

    This article quantitatively studies the macroeconomic impact of creating a free trade area between Morocco and the European Union, while underlining its effects regarding migratory flow. The analysis framework is a computable general equilibrium model which assumes the following new international trade theory hypothesis: increasing scale outputs and products differentiation. The model, which comprises nine Moroccan economic sectors, analyzes the macroeconomic effects on emigration and the creation of a free trade area between Morocco and Europe. Results show that, under current conditions of competitiveness of the Moroccan economy, free trade would induce a strong industrial depression and a growing external deficit. It would lead to a fall in employment, particularly in industry. Consequently, Moroccan migratory flows will be maintained and developed towards Europe.

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