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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Jump-and-rest effect of U.S. business cycles
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Máximo Camacho y Gabriel Pérez-Quirós
  • 期刊名称:Documentos de Trabajo / Banco de España
  • 印刷版ISSN:0213-2710
  • 电子版ISSN:1579-8666
  • 出版年度:2005
  • 卷号:1
  • 出版社:Banco de España
  • 摘要:

    One of the most extended empirical stylized facts about output dynamics in the United States is the positive autocorrelation of output growth. This paper shows that the positive autocorrelation can be better captured by shifts between business cycle states rather than by the standard view of autoregressive coefficients. This result is extremely robust to different nonlinear alternative models and also applies not only to output but to the most relevant macroeconomic variables.

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