文章基本信息
- 标题：Household borrowing and consumption in Spain
- 本地全文：下载
- 作者：Carmen Martínez-Carrascal y Ana del Río
- 期刊名称：Documentos de Trabajo / Banco de España
- 印刷版ISSN：0213-2710
- 电子版ISSN：1579-8666
- 出版年度：2004
- 卷号：1
- 出版社：Banco de España
- 摘要：
This paper aims at analysing the impact of household borrowing on consumption. These variables are modelled jointly in a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) where labour income, wealth variables and nominal interest rates are also included. The main estimation result is that deviations of borrowing from its long-run trend have a significant impact on consumption: when lending is above (below) its long-run level, future consumption contracts (expands). This evidence is also, found in a simpler model in which consumption is not modelled explicitly. In addition, when consumption departs from its long-run level, it seems to be an indicator of changes in future labour income.
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