文章基本信息
- 标题：A useful tool to identify recessions in the euro-area
- 本地全文：下载
- 作者：Pilar Bengoechea y Gabriel Pérez-Quirós
- 期刊名称：Documentos de Trabajo / Banco de España
- 印刷版ISSN：0213-2710
- 电子版ISSN：1579-8666
- 出版年度：2004
- 卷号：1
- 出版社：Banco de España
- 摘要：
This paper investigates the identification and dating of the European business cycle, using different methods. We concentrate on methods and statistical series that provides timely and accurate information about the contemporaneous state of the economy in order to provide the reader with a useful tool that allows him or her to analyze current business conditions and make predictions about the future state of the economy. In this spirit, we find that the European Commission industrial confidence indicator (ICI) is useful in providing that information.
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