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  • 标题:A quarterly fiscal database for the euro area based on intra-annual fiscal information
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Joan Paredes, Diego J. Pedregal ; Javier J. Pérez
  • 期刊名称:Documentos de Trabajo / Banco de España
  • 印刷版ISSN:0213-2710
  • 电子版ISSN:1579-8666
  • 出版年度:2009
  • 卷号:1
  • 出版社:Banco de España
  • 摘要:

    The analysis of the macroeconomic impact of fiscal policies in the euro area has been
    traditionally limited by the absence of quarterly fiscal data. To overcome this problem, we
    provide two new databases in this paper. Firstly, we construct a quarterly database of euro
    area fiscal variables for the period 1980-2008 for a quite disaggregated set of fiscal
    variables; secondly, we present a real-time fiscal database for a subset of fiscal variables,
    composed of bi-annual vintages of data for the euro area period (2000-2009). All models are
    multivariate, state-space mixed-frequencies models estimated with available national
    accounts fiscal data (mostly annual) and, more importantly, monthly and quarterly
    information taken from the cash accounts of the governments. We provide not seasonallyand
    seasonally-adjusted data. Focusing solely on intra-annual fiscal information for
    interpolation purposes allows us to capture genuine intra-annual "fiscal" dynamics in the
    data. Thus, we provide fiscal data that avoid some problems likely to appear in studies using
    fiscal time series interpolated on the basis of general macroeconomic indicators, namely the
    well-known decoupling of tax collection from the evolution of standard macroeconomic
    tax bases (revenue windfalls/shortfalls).

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