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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Currency collapses and output dynamics: a long-run perspective
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Camilo E Tovar
  • 期刊名称:BIS Quarterly Review: International Banking and Financial Market Developments = BIZ-Quartalsbericht: Internationales Bankgeschäft und internationale Finanzmärkte
  • 印刷版ISSN:1012-9979
  • 出版年度:2010
  • 卷号:2010
  • 期号:1
  • 出版社:Bank for International Settlements
  • 摘要:

    Currency collapses, defined as large nominal depreciations or devaluations, are associated with permanent output losses on the order of 6% of GDP on average. In this feature, we argue that the fact that these losses tend to materialise before a drop in the value of the currency indicates that it is not the large depreciation as such that is costly but the factors leading to the currency collapse. Taken on its own, the drop in the exchange rate actually has a positive effect on output.

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