期刊名称：IWH Diskussionspapiere / Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle
出版年度：2010
卷号：2010
出版社：Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle
摘要：In the public debate, the brain drain from East Germany is supposed to be the most
critical trend regarding the development and catching-up of the New Länder. Therefore,
potential for in- and re-migration has attracted much attention at least in the political
context. Our contribution analyses the re-migration potential on the basis of data from a
DFG research project focussing on the re-migration intentions of people formerly emi-
grated from Saxony-Anhalt. The analysis concentrates on the following aspects: the
effect of job market success after emigration; the impact of social ties to the origin and
the host region and on the selectivity of re-migration preferences. The econometric re-
sults confirm several expected effects: On the one hand an individual’s job market success
reduces the intention to return. Likewise, the re-migration preference increases for people
whose expectations were disappointed. On the other hand, the relevance of social ties to
the origin region for re-migration dispositions is confirmed by the estimations. Yet, re-
garding selectivity of re-migration preferences in terms of human capital econometric
results are somewhat ambiguous.
关键词：Return migration, regional convergence, East Germany
