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  • 标题:AN ESTIMATED DSGE MODEL OF THE INDIAN ECONOMY
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Vasco J Gabriel ; Paul Levine ; Joseph Pearlman
  • 期刊名称:Discussion Papers in Economics / Department of Economics, University of Surrey
  • 出版年度:2010
  • 卷号:2010
  • 出版社:University of Surrey
  • 摘要:We develop a closed-economy DSGE model of the Indian economy and estimate it by Bayesian Maximum Likelihood methods using Dynare. We build up in stages to a model with a number of features important for emerging economies in general and the Indian economy in particular: a large proportion of credit-constrained consumers, a ¯nancial accelerator facing domestic ¯rms seeking to ¯nance their investment, and an informal sector. The simulation properties of the estimated model are examined under a generalized in°ation targeting Taylor-type interest rate rule with forward and backward-looking components. We ¯nd that, in terms of model posterior probabilities and standard moments criteria, inclusion of the above ¯nancial frictions and an infor- mal sector signi¯cantly improves the model ¯t.
  • 关键词:Indian economy, DSGE model, Bayesian estimation, monetary interest rate rules, ¯nancial frictions
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