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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Exchange Rate Monitoring Bands: Theory and Policy
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Corrado ; L. Marcus Miller Lei Zhang
  • 期刊名称:Cambridge Working Papers in Economics / Faculty of Economics ; Department of Applied Economics
  • 出版年度:2002
  • 卷号:1
  • 出版社:Cambridge University
  • 摘要:

    Abstract: Recent empirical research by Mark Taylor and coauthors has found evidence of hybrid dynamics for real exchange rates. While there is a random walk near equilibrium, for real exchange rates some distance from equilibrium there is mean-reversion which increases with the degree of misalignment. An interesting question is whether this nonlinear mean-reversion might be policy-induced. John Williamson (1998), for example, has proposed a 搈onitoring band?in which there is no intervention near equilibrium but there is substantial intervention triggered by exchange rate deviations outside a preset band. In this paper we develop a theoretical model of such a monitoring band to see whether it can generate patterns of nonlinear mean-reversion akin to those reported in empirical research.

  • 关键词:monitoring band, non-linear mean-reversion, near random walk dynamics
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