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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Estimating Potential Output with a Multivariate Filter
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Benes ; Jaromir | Clinton ; Kevin | Garcia-saltos
  • 期刊名称:International Monetary Fund Survey
  • 印刷版ISSN:0047-083X
  • 出版年度:2010
  • 期号:dec
  • 出版社:International Monetary Fund
  • 摘要:

    This paper develops a simple model for measuring potential output that uses data on inflation, unemployment, and capacity utilization. We apply the model to 10 countries, in addition to the United States and the euro area. While there is a substantial amount of uncertainty around our estimates, we find that the financial crisis has resulted in a reduction in potential output.

  • 关键词:Potential Output ; Output Gap ; Structural Government Deficits ; Cyclical Government Deficits ; Fiscal Policy ; Monetary Policy ; Inflation ; Unemployment ; Government Debt.
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