首页    期刊浏览 2024年11月28日 星期四
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:Global Shocks and their Impact on Low-income Countries: Lessons from Theglobal Financial Crisis
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Berg, Andrew ; Papageorgiou, Chris ; Pattillo, Catherine A.
  • 期刊名称:International Monetary Fund Survey
  • 印刷版ISSN:0047-083X
  • 出版年度:2011
  • 期号:feb
  • 出版社:International Monetary Fund
  • 摘要:

    This paper investigates the short-run effects of the 2007-09 global financial crisis on growth in (mainly non-fuel exporting) low-income countries (LICs). Four conclusions stand out. First, for many individual LICs, 2009 was not extraordinarily calamitous; however, aggregate LIC output declined sharply because LICs were unusually synchronized. Second, the growth declines are on average well explained by the decline in export demand. Third, if the external environment facing LICs improves as forecast, their growth should rebound sharply. Finally, and contrary to received wisdom, there are few robust relationships between the cross-country growth variation and the policy and structural environment; the main exceptions are reserve coverage and labor-market flexibility.

  • 关键词:Global financial crisis ; Low-income countries ; External shocks ; Short-run growth
国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有