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  • 标题:Sensitivity of matching-based program evaluations to the availability of control variables
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Michael Lechner, Conny Wunsch
  • 期刊名称:Discussion Papers of the Department of Economics, University of St.Gallen = Diskussionspapiere der Volkswirtschaftlichen Abteilung der Universität St.Gallen
  • 出版年度:2011
  • 卷号:2011
  • 出版社:Universität St. Gallen
  • 摘要:Based on new, exceptionally informative and large German linked employer-employee administrative data, we investigate the question whether the omission of important control variables in matching estimation leads to biased impact estimates of typical active labour market programs for the unemployed. Such biases would lead to false policy conclusions about the cost-effectiveness of these expensive policies. Using newly developed Empirical Monte Carlo Study methods, we find that besides standard personal characteristics, information on individual health and firm characteristics of the last employer are particularly important for selection correction. Moreover, it is important to account for past performance on the labour market in a very detailed and flexible way. Information on job search behaviour, timing of unemployment and program start, as well as detailed regional characteristics are also relevant.
  • 关键词:Training; job search assistance; matching estimation; active labour market policies.;
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