摘要：Extreme climate events could influence poverty by affecting agricultural productivity and
raising prices of staple foods that are important to poor households in developing countries.
With the frequency and intensity of extreme climate events predicted to change in the
future, informed policy design and analysis requires an understanding of which countries
and groups are going to be most vulnerable to increasing poverty. Using a novel
economic-climate analysis framework, we assess the poverty impacts of climate volatility for
seven socio-economic groups in 16 developing countries. We find that extremes
under present climate volatility increase poverty across our developing country
sample—particularly in Bangladesh, Mexico, Indonesia, and Africa—with urban wage
earners the most vulnerable group. We also find that global warming exacerbates poverty
vulnerability in many nations.
