期刊名称：CREDIT Research Paper / University of Nottingham
出版年度：2011
卷号：1
出版社：Nottingham
摘要：This paper argues for the need to improve logistics and trade infrastructure in developing
countries in order to increase trade flows. Based on a multiplicative form gravity
regression framework, this paper assesses the impact of logistics on bilateral exports in
developing countries. The logistics augmented gravity model estimations incorporating
heterogeneity indicate that logistics impacts positively on bilateral trade in developing
countries. With regards to the individual measures of logistics, the ease and affordability
of shipping and timeliness had the greatest and least impact on bilateral exports
respectively. Domestic logistics costs were however not significant in explaining bilateral
trade flows. The evidence also shows asymmetries within country groups. Logistics at the
destination was more important for primary commodity exports, at the origin more
important for the export of oil/gas and manufactures and in developing countries more
important for exports to high income countries. The evidence also indicates customs
efficiency and timeliness as more important for trade in low income countries. Other
explanatory variables such as economic size, distance, tariffs and country characteristics
were found to be important determinants of trade involving developing countries
关键词：Trade Flows and Costs, Bilateral Exports, Logistics, Gravity Model,
Developing Countries
