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文章基本信息

  • 标题:An Empirical Investigation of US Fiscal Expenditures and Macroeconomic Outcomes
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Yunus Aksoy ; Giovanni Melina
  • 期刊名称:Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance / School of Economics, Mathematics and Statistics, Birkbeck College
  • 印刷版ISSN:1745-8587
  • 出版年度:2011
  • 卷号:2011
  • 出版社:London University
  • 摘要:

    Abstract
    In addition to containing stable information to explain inflation, state-local expenditures have also a larger share of the forecast error variance of US inflation than the Federal funds rate. Non-defense federal expenditures are useful in predicting real output variations and, starting from the early 1980s, present also a larger share of the forecast error variance of US real output than the Federal funds rate.

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