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  • 标题:What is the current state of scientific knowledge with regard to seasonal and decadal forecasting?
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Doug M Smith ; Adam A Scaife ; Ben P Kirtman
  • 期刊名称:Environmental Research Letters
  • 印刷版ISSN:1748-9326
  • 电子版ISSN:1748-9326
  • 出版年度:2012
  • 卷号:7
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:015602-015602
  • DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/7/1/015602
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:IOP Publishing Ltd
  • 摘要:Environmental factors, such as the frequency, intensity and duration of extreme weather events, are important drivers of migration and displacement of people. There is therefore a growing need for regional climate predictions for the coming seasons to decades. This paper reviews the current state of the art of seasonal to decadal climate prediction, focusing on the potential sources of skill, forecasting techniques, current capability and future prospects.
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