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  • 标题:Coherence Of The Posterior Predictive P-Value Based On The Posterior Odds
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:JULI\'AN DE LA HORRA ; Universidad Aut\'onoma de Madrid, Spain ; MAR\'IA TERESA RODR\'IGUEZ-BERNAL
  • 期刊名称:Sankhya. Series A, mathematical statistics and probability
  • 印刷版ISSN:0976-836X
  • 电子版ISSN:0976-8378
  • 出版年度:2003
  • 卷号:65
  • 期号:03
  • 出版社:Indian Statistical Institute
  • 摘要:It is well-known that classical $p$-values sometimes behave incoherently for testing hypotheses in the sense that, when $\Theta_0\subset\Theta'_0,$ the support given to $\Theta_0$ is greater than or equal to the support given to $\Theta'_0.$. This problem is also found for posterior predictive $p$-values (a Bayesian-motivated alternative to classical $p$-values). In this paper, it is proved that, under some conditions, the posterior predictive $p$-value based on the posterior odds is coherent, showing that the choice of a suitable discrepancy variable is crucial.
  • 关键词:Coherence, posterior odds, $p$-value, posterior predictive $p$-value.
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