摘要：In their contribution to last year¡¯s VID conference on From intentions to
behaviour: reproductive decision-making in a macro-micro perspective,
reproduced in this volume, Morgan and Bachrach (2011) raise the question
whether the Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB), developed by Icek Ajzen and
Martin Fishbein (Fishbein and Ajzen 1975, 2010; Ajzen 1985) is an appropriate
model for human fertility. Their assessment is that it is of some use, especially
¡°when dealing with questions that address short-term influences on fertility
behaviour which are not closely tied to macro-level structural constraints¡±
(Morgan and Bachrach 2011). However, they advocate the use of more general,
¡°next-generation¡±, models of fertility and in particular the Theory of Conjunctural
Action that they developed (Johnson-Hanks et al. 2011) as a more promising
alternative.
