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  • 标题:Bayesian Inference for Irreducible Diffusion Processes Using the Pseudo-marginal Approach
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Osnat Stramer ; Matthew Bognar
  • 期刊名称:Bayesian Analysis
  • 印刷版ISSN:1931-6690
  • 电子版ISSN:1936-0975
  • 出版年度:2011
  • 卷号:06
  • 期号:02
  • DOI:10.1214/11-BA608
  • 出版社:International Society for Bayesian Analysis
  • 摘要:

    In this article we examine two relatively new MCMC methods which
    allow for Bayesian inference in di®usion models. First, the Monte Carlo within
    Metropolis (MCWM) algorithm (O'Neil et al. 2000) uses an importance sampling
    approximation for the likelihood and yields a Markov chain. Our simulation study
    shows that there exists a limiting stationary distribution that can be made arbi-
    trarily \close" to the posterior distribution (MCWM is not a standard Metropolis-
    Hastings algorithm, however). The second method, described in Beaumont (2003)
    and generalized in Andrieu and Roberts (2009), introduces auxiliary variables
    and utilizes a standard Metropolis-Hastings algorithm on the enlarged space; this
    method preserves the original posterior distribution. When applied to di®usion
    models, this pseudo-marginal (PM) approach can be viewed as a generalization of
    the popular data augmentation schemes that sample jointly from the missing paths
    and the parameters of the di®usion volatility. The e±cacy of the PM approach is
    demonstrated in a simulation study of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) and Heston
    models, and is applied to two well known datasets. Comparisons are made with
    the MCWM algorithm and the Golightly and Wilkinson (2008) approach.

  • 关键词:Di®usion process; Euler discretization; Markov chain Monte Carlo
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