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  • 标题:A Bayesian Surrogate Model for Rapid Time Series Analysis and Application to Exoplanet Observations
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Eric B. Ford ; Althea V. Moorhead ; Dimitri Veras
  • 期刊名称:Bayesian Analysis
  • 印刷版ISSN:1931-6690
  • 电子版ISSN:1936-0975
  • 出版年度:2011
  • 卷号:06
  • 期号:03
  • DOI:10.1214/11-BA619
  • 出版社:International Society for Bayesian Analysis
  • 摘要:

    We present a Bayesian surrogate model for the analysis of periodic or
    quasi-periodic time series data. We describe a computationally e±cient implemen-
    tation that enables Bayesian model comparison. We apply this model to simulated
    and real exoplanet observations. We discuss the results and demonstrate some of
    the challenges for applying our surrogate model to realistic exoplanet data sets. In
    particular, we ¯nd that analyses of real world data should pay careful attention to
    the e®ects of uneven spacing of observations and the choice of prior for the \jitter"
    parameter.

  • 关键词:model comparison; model selection; periodogram; numerical methods
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