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  • 标题:Unobserved time effects confound the identification of climate change impacts
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Maximilian Auffhammer ; Jeffrey R. Vincent
  • 期刊名称:Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
  • 印刷版ISSN:0027-8424
  • 电子版ISSN:1091-6490
  • 出版年度:2012
  • 卷号:109
  • 期号:30
  • 页码:11973-11974
  • DOI:10.1073/pnas.1202049109
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:The National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
  • 摘要:A recent study by Feng et al. [Feng S, Krueger A, Oppenheimer M (2010) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 107:14257-14262] in PNAS reported statistical evidence of a weather-driven causal effect of crop yields on human migration from Mexico to the United States. We show that this conclusion is based on a different statistical model than the one stated in the paper. When we correct for this mistake, there is no evidence of a causal link.
  • 关键词:agricultural productivity ; environmental migrants ; global warming ; instrumental variables approach
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