首页    期刊浏览 2025年07月09日 星期三
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:Energy Balance Climate Models, Damage Reservoirs and the Time Profile of Climate Change Policy
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:William Brock ; Gustav Engstrom ; Anastasios Xepapadeas
  • 期刊名称:FEEM Working Papers / Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei = Nota di Lavoro
  • 出版年度:2012
  • 卷号:2012
  • 出版社:Milano
  • 摘要:

    A simplified energy balance climate model is considered with the global mean temperature as the state variable, and an endogenous ice line. The movements of the ice line towards the Poles are associated with damage reservoirs where initial damages are high and then eventually vanish as the ice caps vanish and the damage reservoir is exhausted. We couple this climate model with a simple economic growth model and we show that the endogenous ice line induces a nonlinearity. This nonlinearity when combined with two sources of damages - the conventional damages due to temperature increase and the reservoir damages - generates multiple steady states and Skiba points. It is shown that the policy ramp implied by this model calls for high mitigation now. Simulation results suggest that the policy ramp could be U-shaped instead of the monotonically increasing with low starting mitigation gradualist policy ramp.

  • 关键词:Energy Balance Climate Models; Damage Reservoir; Ice Line; Permafrost; Heat ;Diffusion; Policy Ramp; Skiba Points
国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有