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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Investment choice under uncertainty: A review essay
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Trifunović Dejan
  • 期刊名称:Economic annals
  • 印刷版ISSN:0013-3264
  • 电子版ISSN:1820-7375
  • 出版年度:2005
  • 卷号:50
  • 期号:167
  • 页码:141-170
  • DOI:10.2298/EKA0567141T
  • 出版社:Faculty of Economics, Belgrade
  • 摘要:

    An investment opportunity whose return is perfectly predictable, hardly exists at all. Instead, investor makes his decisions under conditions of uncertainty. Theory of expected utility is the main analytical tool for description of choice under uncertainty. Critics of the theory contend that individuals have bounded rationality and that the theory of expected utility is not correct. When agents are faced with risky decisions they behave differently, conditional on their attitude towards risk. They can be risk loving, risk averse or risk neutral. In order to make an investment decision it is necessary to compare probability distribution functions of returns. Investment decision making is much simpler if one uses expected values and variances instead of probability distribution functions.

  • 关键词:theory of expected utility; attitude towards risk; stochastic dominance; mean-variance analysis; comparative statics of portfolio choice
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