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  • 标题:Estimation of the value-at-risk parameter: Econometric analysis and the extreme value theory approach
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Mladenović Zorica ; Mladenović Pavle
  • 期刊名称:Economic annals
  • 印刷版ISSN:0013-3264
  • 电子版ISSN:1820-7375
  • 出版年度:2006
  • 卷号:51
  • 期号:171
  • 页码:32-73
  • DOI:10.2298/EKA0671032M
  • 出版社:Faculty of Economics, Belgrade
  • 摘要:

    In this paper different aspects of value-at-risk estimation are considered. Daily returns of CISCO, INTEL and NASDAQ stock indices are analyzed for period: September 1996 - September 2006. Methods that incorporate time varying variability and heavy tails of the empirical distributions of returns are implemented. The main finding of the paper is that standard econometric methods underestimate the value-at-risk parameter if heavy tails of the empirical distribution are not explicitly taken into account. .

  • 关键词:value-at-risk; conditional variability; GARCH models; extreme values; heavy tailed distributions
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