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  • 标题:Contemporary climate variability and forest fires in Deliblatska pescara
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Dučić Vladan ; Milenković Milan ; Radovanović Milan
  • 期刊名称:Journal of the Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic, SASA
  • 印刷版ISSN:0350-7599
  • 电子版ISSN:1821-2808
  • 出版年度:2008
  • 期号:58
  • 页码:59-73
  • DOI:10.2298/IJGI0858059D
  • 出版社:Geographical Institute “Jovan Cvijić” SASA
  • 摘要:

    Considering the actual scenario of contemporary global climate changes and their possible influence on forest fires, the connections between temperature changes and precipitations on fires have been examined in Deliblatska pescara. The basic characteristics of fires have been analyzed in the area which is considered the most endangered in Serbia. The decreasing trend of annual number of fires was ascertained for period the 1948-2002. However, the trend of annual temperature and precipitation changes is not in accordance with the trend of annual number of fires. Some seasonal aspects related with the change of climate elements cannot also explain the decreasing number of fires. A rising trend of annual fire spread surface have been ascertained, which is in accordance with air temperature rise at the end of the 20th century. However, five extreme values were far above the upper standard deviation, which was explained by non climate factors (increase of surface under pine trees, mistakes during fire extinguishing and similar).

  • 关键词:Deliblatska pescara; forest fires; climate changes
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