首页    期刊浏览 2024年11月14日 星期四
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:Methodological basis for macroeconomic projections in countries exposed to pressures and shocks: Example of Serbia
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Kovačević Miladin ; Stamenković Stojan
  • 期刊名称:Panoeconomicus
  • 印刷版ISSN:1452-595X
  • 出版年度:2010
  • 卷号:57
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:225-243
  • DOI:10.2298/PAN1002225K
  • 出版社:Savez ekonomista Vojvodine
  • 摘要:

    The presented Macroeconomic Projections Model is based on a 'pre-established' model for projecting the balance of payment linked with the balance of gross domestic product use. Such a model is the 'authentic! one, designed by authors, i.e. based on a no theoretical concept of modelling the macroeconomic equilibrium, but it has a 'heuristic' (experiential) character. The idea for designing such a model comes from the fact that theoretical models involve numerous equations that are to be solved, with numerous parameters to be estimated, including also the problem of linearity (smoothness) of longterm analytical curves, as well as the problem of an undeveloped market, a closed economy or an economy that is fragile in its relations with foreign countries, the problem of 'turning' points, different internal or external shocks, etc.

  • 关键词:macroeconomic projections; GDP deflators; modelling; sustainability
国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有