首页    期刊浏览 2025年02月20日 星期四
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:Complex Dynamics of Discrete SEIS Models with Simple Demography
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Hui Cao ; Yicang Zhou ; Baojun Song
  • 期刊名称:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
  • 印刷版ISSN:1026-0226
  • 电子版ISSN:1607-887X
  • 出版年度:2011
  • 卷号:2011
  • DOI:10.1155/2011/653937
  • 出版社:Hindawi Publishing Corporation
  • 摘要:We investigate bifurcations and dynamical behaviors of discrete SEIS models with exogenous reinfections and a variety of treatment strategies. Bifurcations identified from the models include period doubling, backward, forward-backward, and multiple backward bifurcations. Multiple attractors, such as bistability and tristability, are observed. We also estimate the ultimate boundary of the infected regardless of initial status. Our rigorously mathematical analysis together with numerical simulations show that epidemiological factors alone can generate complex dynamics, though demographic factors only support simple equilibrium dynamics. Our model analysis supports and urges to treat a fixed percentage of exposed individuals.
国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有