期刊名称：SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association
印刷版ISSN：1869-4187
电子版ISSN：1869-4195
出版年度：2012
卷号：3
期号：4
页码：499-520
DOI：10.1007/s13209-011-0070-7
出版社：Springer Berlin / Heidelberg
摘要：The aim of this study is to determine whether accruals have information value beyond that provided by isolated current cash flows for the prediction of future cash flows. Using a sample of 4,397 Spanish companies (mostly privately held), we estimate in-sample regressions of future cash flows on isolated current cash flows and on accrual-based earnings. We then find that the out-of-sample prediction errors provided by the accrual-based earnings model are significantly lower than those obtained with the cash flows model. We also regress the decrease in prediction errors brought about by the addition of accruals on a set of firm-specific circumstances where accounting manipulation is expected. In all cases the decrease in prediction errors is significantly affected in the hypothesized direction.
