期刊名称：Drustvena istrazivanja. Journal for General Social Issues
印刷版ISSN：1330-0288
出版年度：1999
卷号：8
期号：5-6 (43-44)
页码：735-749
出版社：Institute of Social Sciences IVO PILAR
摘要：In making estimates of the total population trends in Croatia in the period between the 1991 census and the year1998, the author has observed the appearance of several unsatisfactory (and undesirable) processes in Croatia’s population in the past eight years. In this paper three of these are analysed, according to the author’s opinion – the least desirable processes from the point of view of the future development of Croatian population. The first is a matter of total population decrease in Croatia. In 1998 there were 6.5% less inhabitants than in 1991. The second undesirable process, connected with the previous, is a considerable disturbance of the Croatian population’s territorial distribution. The population of Croatian counties is very uneven. During the twentieth century some areas were becoming increasingly populated (Croatia’s average population also grew), while other areas were losing inhabitants. Between 1991 and 1998 the previously scarcely populated areas experienced, due to war circumstances, a further loss of inhabitants, thus making the present situation even more unfavourable than the one in 1991. Therefore, in 1998 in the 12% of the northwestern Croatian territory (6,938 km2) lived as much as 35% of the population (1,476,500 inhabitants), while in nine counties of the central part of Croatia (Koprivničko – Križevačka, Bjelovarsko – Bilogorska, Virovitičko – Podravska, Požeško – Slavonska, Sisačko – Moslavačka, Karlovačka, Ličko – Senjska, Zadarska and Šibensko – Kninska) comprising 50% of the Croatian territory (28,271 km2) there was only 24% of the population (1,004,200 inhabitants). The third important yet undesirable process is demographic aging, about which a detailed analysis is also presented with possible long-term consequences regarding the development of the Croatian population.
