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  • 标题:Short-term Dependence in Time Series as an Index of Complexity: Example from the S&P-500 Index
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:C-René Dominique ; Luis Eduardo Rivera Solis
  • 期刊名称:International Business Research
  • 印刷版ISSN:1913-9004
  • 电子版ISSN:1913-9012
  • 出版年度:2012
  • 卷号:5
  • 期号:9
  • 页码:38
  • DOI:10.5539/ibr.v5n9p38
  • 出版社:Canadian Center of Science and Education
  • 摘要:The capital market is a reflexive dynamical input/output construct whose output (time series) is usually assessed by an index of roughness known as Hurst’s exponent (H). Oddly enough, H has no theoretical foundation, but recently it has been found experimentally to vary from persistence (H > 1/2) or long-term dependence to anti-persistence (H < 1/2) or short-term dependence. This paper uses the thrown-offs of quadratic maps (modeled asymptotically) and singularity spectra of fractal sets to characterize H, the alternateness of dependence, and market crashes while proposing a simpler method of computing the correlation dimension than the Grassberger-Procaccia procedure.
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