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  • 标题:Moving from inflation targeting to prices and incomes policy
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Arestis Philip ; Sawyer Malcolm
  • 期刊名称:Panoeconomicus
  • 印刷版ISSN:1452-595X
  • 出版年度:2013
  • 卷号:60
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:1-17
  • DOI:10.2298/PAN1301001A
  • 出版社:Savez ekonomista Vojvodine
  • 摘要:

    This paper focuses on the future of economic policies with regard to inflation. The dominant approach to inflation over the past two decades or so has been inflation targeting. The global environment of the decade circa 1995 to 2005 with the “China effect” pushing down prices of manufactured goods and with primary commodity prices being subdued was conducive to low inflation. It is argued that inflation targeting has not been a great success story and is unable to address inflation arising from global forces or from struggles over the distribution of income. It is argued that a more sophisticated analysis than that contained in the Phillips curve is required. Further, and from our analysis, counter inflation policies should include the achievement of an inflation barrier consistent with full employment without inflationary pressures. This can be addressed by ensuring that there is sufficient productive capacity to underpin full employment, where sufficient is to be interpreted in terms of quantity, quality and geographical distribution. Further, we argue that this should be complemented by some form of incomes policy, to enable inflation to be contained without resorting to demand deflation.

  • 关键词:inflation targeting; inflation barrier; incomes policy
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