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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Estimation and testing of dynamic models with generalised hyperbolic innovations
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:F. Javier Mencía ; Enrique Sentana
  • 期刊名称:CEMFI Working Papers / Centro de Estudios Monetarios y Financieros, Madrid
  • 出版年度:2004
  • 卷号:2004
  • 出版社:Centro de Estudios Monetarios y Financieros, Madrid
  • 摘要:

    We analyse the Generalised Hyperbolic distribution as a model for fat tails and asymmetries in multivariate conditionally heteroskedastic dynamic regression models. We provide a standardised version of this distribution, obtain analytical expressions for the log-likelihood score, and explain how to evaluate the information matrix. In addition, we derive tests for the null hypotheses of multivariate normal and Student t innovations, and decompose them into skewness and kurtosis components, from which we obtain more powerful one-sided versions. Finally, we present an empirical illustration with UK sectorial stock returns, which suggests that their conditional distribution is asymmetric and leptokurtic.

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