期刊名称：Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci, Časopis za ekonomsku teoriju praksu
印刷版ISSN：1331-8004
出版年度：2003
卷号：21
期号：2
页码：29-47
出版社：University of Rijeka Faculty of Economics
摘要：In this paper we have analysed essential determinants of population reproduction in Croatia in the second half of 20th century. Both natality and mortality tended to decline, but the natality decline, after a shorter period of baby-boom, was more rapid, while the mortality declined more rapidly in the beginning and stagnated in the second part of the period, obviusly under the impact of average ageing. The crude birth rate especially fell in 1990th as a consequence of troubled times and the loss of younger people during the independence war. The natural increase of population declined drastically, from 12,5 per thousand in 1950, to 0,7 per thousand in 1990, and to negative rates in the period 1991-2001, with –2,0 per thousand in 2001. The same tendencies are recorded in the total fertility rate and the gross and net reproduction rates, which started to fall earlier and are presently much below replacement level. The factors behind these tendencies are then analysed: the number of women in the fertile age in total population, as well as changes in the age structure of fertile women as a demographic factor, and the declien in age specific fertility rates, as a social factor. All these factors were negative from the standpoint of population reproduction and in recent years resulted in the decline in the total number of population in Croatia.
关键词：Population growth; depopulation; aging of fertile population; population reproduction
