首页    期刊浏览 2024年12月03日 星期二
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:Expected Return of Housing and Mortgage Termination
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Authors: Nai Jia Lee
  • 期刊名称:International Real Estate Review
  • 印刷版ISSN:1029-6131
  • 出版年度:2003
  • 卷号:6
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:75-101
  • 出版社:Asian Real Estate Society, Global Chinese Real Estate Congress
  • 摘要:

    The prepayment risk of adjustable rate mortgages, unlike that of fixed rate mortgages, greatly depends on the decision of mortgagors to move. Given that housing also serves as an investment asset for the owner, it is hypothesised that the expected capital returns of housing are likely to affect his decision to move and hence, prepay. This paper aims to test the capital gains hypothesis using Singapore?s housing market as a case study. In addition, this paper also explores how the expected returns from alternative types of housing affect the decision of households to move/prepay. The expected returns of housing are computed in accordance with the definitionsof the Rational Expectation Hypothesis, Adaptive Expectation Hypothesis, and Exogenous Expectation Hypothesis, which are well established in macroeconomic literature and the explanation of cycles. The results showed that the expected returns of public housing formed under the assumptions of rational and adaptive expectation hypothesis are significant. The rationalexpected return for private housing, however, does not have a significant relationship with the decision of mortgagors to move/prepay, although the adapted expected return for private housing is not significantly related to the households? length of stay.

国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有