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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Analyst Forecasting Errors in REITs
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Haiwei Chen ; Ansley Chua ; Changha Jin
  • 期刊名称:International Real Estate Review
  • 印刷版ISSN:1029-6131
  • 出版年度:2013
  • 卷号:16
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:48-67
  • 出版社:Asian Real Estate Society, Global Chinese Real Estate Congress
  • 摘要:

    We find that the 3-day window around funds from operations (FFO) announcements drives the momentum profits found in the literature, which deliver an average excess monthly return of 1.22% over the period of 1990-2008 and 1.59% during the post-2000 period. Excluding this announcement window, a momentum strategy does not generate any significant returns. The FFO-surprised-based portfolio formation method produces higher momentum profits than the return-based formation method. There is a significant positive serial correlation between the unexpected FFO for the next two quarters. We contribute to the current literature by documenting that the persistence of momentum profits is due to the underreaction by analysts on public information, the FFO announcement.

  • 关键词:REITs; Analyst Forecasting; Momentum Strategy; Real Estate Investment
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