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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Modeling the Dynamic Interdependence of MENA Stock Markets: A Multivariate Analysis
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Aktham Maghyereh ; Haitham Al-Zoubi
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Economic Research
  • 印刷版ISSN:1226-4261
  • 出版年度:2004
  • 卷号:9
  • 期号:2
  • 出版社:Hanyang Economic Research Institute
  • 摘要:

    This paper examines the dynamic interdependence among Middle East and North Africa (MENA) stock markets, that is lead-lag relationships and volatility transmission mechanism among four emerging MENA stock markets, namely Egypt, Jordan, Morocco and Turkey. The methodological design is a multivariate vector autoregressive exponential GARCH (MVAR-EGARCH) model which is appropriate for examining the nature of the volatility and return spillover mechanism across markets. The empirical findings indicate that there are strong linkages among the MENA markets at the volatility level. In addition, volatility is found to respond asymmetrically to news/innovations, with a strong response in the case of bad news than in the case of good news. These empirical results are particularly important to investors when devising hedging and diversification strategies for their portfolio.

  • 关键词:Market Interdependence; Volatility; GARCH; MENA Financial Markets
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