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  • 标题:Equilibrium exchange rates in Southeastern Europe, Russia, Ukraine and Turkey: Healthy or (Dutch) diseased?
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Balázs Égert
  • 期刊名称:BOFIT Discussion Papers
  • 印刷版ISSN:1456-4564
  • 电子版ISSN:1456-5889
  • 出版年度:2005
  • 出版社:Bank of Finland Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT)
  • 摘要:This paper investigates the equilibrium exchange rates of three Southeastern European countries (Bulgaria, Croatia and Romania), of two CIS economies (Russia and Ukraine) and of Turkey. A systematic approach in terms of different time horizons at which the equilibrium exchange rate is assessed is conducted, combined with a careful analysis of country-specific factors. For Russia, a first look is taken at the Dutch Disease phenomenon as a possible driving force behind equilibrium exchange rates. A unified framework including productivity and net foreign assets completed with a set control variables such as openness, public debt and public expenditures is used to compute total real misalignment bands.
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