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  • 标题:Early warning indicators of asset price boom/bust cycles in emerging markets
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Alexey Ponomarenko
  • 期刊名称:BOFIT Discussion Papers
  • 印刷版ISSN:1456-4564
  • 电子版ISSN:1456-5889
  • 出版年度:2012
  • 出版社:Bank of Finland Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT)
  • 摘要:We apply recently developed early warning indicators systems to a cross-section of emerging markets. We find that, with little or no modification, models designed to predict asset price booms/busts in advanced countries may be useful for emerging markets. The concept of monitoring a set of asset prices, real activity (especially investment) and financial (especially credit) indicators is generally found to be efficacious
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