期刊名称:The Romanian Journal of Communication and Public Relations = Revista Română de Comunicare şi Relaţii Publice
印刷版ISSN:1454-8100
出版年度:2010
卷号:12
期号:3
出版社:National School of Political Studies and Public Administration
摘要:Economic developments impact on voting behavior assumes multiple meanings in the context of pres- idential elections in Romania. After 1989, the Romanian society has undergone profound structural changes, which later resulted in either social imbalances or contributed to the polarization of voting options. The hypoth- esis we want to test is that the positive evolution of the economic indicators contributes to the modification of electoral choice, from left party candidates to right party candidates. The second round of presidential elections is, in our opinion, the highest point of intense rivalry and political emulation of the electorate. This is one of the reasons which have contributed to choosing this type of election process as a temporal analy- sis. Another aspect that led to the choice of this theme is that the polarization of the electorate becomes espe- cially clear in 2004 and 2009. Both in 2004 and 2009, Basescu was one of the presidential candidates; this is way we were interested in discovering the traditional voter loyalties of the right party candidate. In terms of economic factors, we found that the standard of living is dependent on a number of indicators that are felt directly or indirectly by the voters. The analysis revealed that the indicator with the greatest impact on voting behavior is GDP/resident, this is the expression of the recognition of economic developments both in the occupied and unoccupied population. Surprisingly, the GDP/resident has a greater impact in favor of the SDP candidate, which refutes the hypothesis of the paper.
关键词:Romania; political sociology; economic indicators; presidential elections